A few notes on tonight

  1. Caveat on the last long post: I mostly ignored Cruz. He is of course part of this movement and a pure creature of it, but is coming at it from a slightly different angle. If he wins Oklahoma, and puts some pressure on Trump, that’ll be worth discussing, but right now he can’t even carry most evangelicals.
  2. Things I Am Looking Forward To Tonight #1: Rubio making it close in Virginia (Fairfax and Arlington might help him get over the top, but he still might be too far away) and making a sweeping victory speech for coming in 2nd in one state. Even if he eeks out a win, it’ll still be wonderful to hear him say he’s going to ride this to the White House. A small win in the most favorable state!
  3. Things I Am Looking Forward To Tonight #2: Bernie winning in Massachusetts and his supporters trying to delicately argue that Hillary can only win states with large black populations. It’ll be a neat flip of 2008 when the Clinton camp tried to do the same with Obama. Of course that’s garbage, like it was in 2008. Equally garbage is the idea that most Bernie voters will sit out, scorned (something Hillary supporters said in 2008). Maybe some will, but not enough. Especially if it’s Trump.
  4. Hillary is being very smart about running for Obama’s 3rd term. That’ll bring out a lot of voters who want to protect his legacy, especially if Trump spends the next 8 months saying what a disastrous loser, and totally ineffective guy, Obama has been. Because I think a lot of us, black and white, will rise as one, and say: fuck that.
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